State of the Union Live Blog

Criminal Justice Reform?

Many of us expected President Biden to discuss prospects for criminal justice reform, as my colleague Professor Nolan Bennet noted before the State of the Union and after, in highlighting the downplaying of Biden’s U.S. Supreme Court nominee Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson. After the murder of George Floyd by the police in May 2020, the world saw a wave of demands to address systemic racism and transform police and prison systems. Most of the proposed legislation in the U.S. remains stalled in congress. Representative Cori Bush, a leading advocate for structural changes like defunding the police and reinvesting in communities, criticized President Biden for failing to “mention saving Black lives once” in his address: https://twitter.com/CoriBush/status/1498866983835783171 Instead, President Biden rejected calls to reallocate funds from the police to other public services, one aspect of the movement to “defund the police,” and called for more funds for the police: “We should all agree: The answer is not to defund the police. It’s to fund the police. Fund them. Fund them. Fund them with resources and training. Resources and training they need to protect their communities.”President Biden, 2022 State of the Union Address In the midst of low approval ratings and a crucial midterm election year, doubling down on police funding could be read as an attempt to appeal to moderates or to reach across the aisle to conservatives like House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who gave a standing ovation. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has also tried to distance the Democratic Party from the defund movement, last month quoting Representative Ritchie Torres announcing the defund movement as dead. None of this may come as a surprise given the longer history of liberals trying to avoid the label, “soft on crime.” Biden was one of the main proponents of the 1994 “Crime Bill” (The Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994), the largest bill to allocate federal funding to local and state law enforcement agencies in U.S. history. In combination with the Anti-Drug Abuse Act of 1986, this legislation is often credited with exacerbating the prison boom and rapidly increasing mass incarceration to globally unprecedented levels. Its impact is especially felt in Wisconsin, which is ranked second in the country for disparity in incarceration rates between Black and white people. Recently, Former Governor Tommy Thompson expressed regret about the number of people who were incarcerated under his tenure, leading him to launch a new grant for expanding prison education, which we are working on at UW-Green Bay. President Biden also paid homage to the “War on Drugs” by calling for all levels of law enforcement to pursue drug traffickers domestically and at the U.S.-Mexico border. As my colleague Professor Alise Coen pointed out in her blogpost, President Biden seemed to gloss over the details of his immigration plan, saying, “we need to secure our border and fix the immigration system.” This might raise two questions for Wisconsinites: How much does Wisconsin spend on the police? The Wisconsin Policy Forum found that annually…
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Afterthoughts: Ukraine and Dilemmas of Displacement

It’s understandable that so much attention during the State of the Union was devoted to discussing the war in Ukraine and that Biden foregrounded the issue to set the tone of his address. From a strategic perspective, Biden officials are undoubtedly aware that the situation offers somewhat of a second chance to show the U.S. public and allies overseas that the administration has some strengths on foreign policy after its widely criticized management of the U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan last year. During Biden’s 2020 presidential campaign, he not only pledged to restore America’s “respected leadership on the world stage” but also specifically promised to “fight back against Russia’s attacks on Western democracies.” Russia’s escalating invasion of Ukraine presents his administration with a direct test of that campaign rhetoric and provides Biden with an opportunity to claim he is rejuvenating U.S. leadership in the liberal world order—what he referred to as “the free world” during his speech.   The loss of life and humanitarian consequences of the war have also captured public attention in ways that demanded a response during the speech. Biden focused heavily on U.S. work “inflicting pain on Russia” through sanctions, diplomacy, and the NATO alliance. Another dimension of the conflict, however, involves forced migration. Within the first few days of Russian troops pressing into the country, over 150,000 people fled across the border into neighboring European countries such as Poland, Hungary, Romania, and Slovakia. As of now—roughly one week into the war – over 660,000 civilians have fled. The UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) anticipates over 5 million Ukrainians might become displaced if conditions continue to deteriorate. Ukrainians seeking refuge in other countries are mostly women, elderly people, and children, as men of “fighting age” have been ordered to remain in the country. That aspect shapes the global politics of welcoming refugee groups. Research on gender norms and humanitarian protection has shown that portraits of women and children are more easily constructed as innocent, vulnerable, and deserving of rescue. There are already ample stories of governments around the world opening their doors and volunteering to host and house Ukrainian refugees. Some state and local officials here in the United States have also vocalized support for welcoming displaced Ukrainians into their jurisdictions. During his State of the Union, President Biden reinforced positive images of Ukrainians as courageous and proud people with an iron will. He spoke about the deep bond Americans share with Ukrainians. This kind of language enables members of the public to imagine Ukrainian refugees as “like us” and non-threatening. On one level, this discourse and outpouring of support through offers of welcome appear to affirm notions of international solidarity around refugee responsibility-sharing. For those of us who research refugee and migration policy, it feels like a very rare moment in which global norms encouraging the protection of displaced people are aligning with public sentiments and government policies. Biden’s State of the Union emphasis on how much Ukrainians and Americans are alike, however, also raises more…
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Who’s Responding to Biden?

Since the 1960s, the opposing party has typically followed up the President’s State of the Union with their own response: it’s from this more modern tradition that we get Senator Marco Rubio’s infamous water drinking foible from 2013. Tonight’s response to Biden is from Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds, who gave this preview of her rebuttal on Twitter this morning: https://twitter.com/KimReynoldsIA/status/1498675261604311041?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet Governor Reynolds has attracted considerable national attention over her distinct response to Covid-19 in the state, refusing to adopt many of the public health restrictions that have defined life in other states. But it’s clear from this tweet and recent comments that she might focus too on a number of other issues animating Republican voters and political figures, particularly the teaching of antiracism or Critical Race Theory in the classroom. Reynolds isn’t the only one responding, though: Michigan Representative Rashida Tlaib of Biden’s own party will also issue a response on behalf of the progressive Working Families Party. I’ll be curious to see if she replies to Biden’s provocative pushback against progressive calls to “defund the police”: “The answer is not to defund the police. The answer is to FUND the police,” Biden claimed in his State of the Union. As Axios reports, centrist Democrats have already made clear their frustration with Rep. Tlaib’s decision to provide her own response to Biden. A fun bit of trivia to leave you with: Biden is now one of the few to deliver both a State of the Union and a response to another President’s address. In both 1983 and 1984, Biden was one of a number of Democrats to respond to then-President Ronald Reagan’s own addresses.
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Missing Issues on Education

It was a quick reference, but somewhere around the middle of the speech tonight (before the pandemic and law enforcement discussions) Biden gave a shout out to “community colleges” which was met with much applause. I was interested to see whether Biden would touch on some of his other presidential campaign themes around education which have fallen a bit off the radar, such as student loan forgiveness. Back in 2020, he expressed support for forgiving at least $10,000 of federal student loan debt per person. The Department of Education did extend the pandemic-era pause on federal student loan payments several times, but otherwise it seems the loan forgiveness discussion has faded from the agenda. It’s likely there isn’t adequate support within Congress right now to pass legislation on the issue, with some lawmakers explicitly opposed to loan forgiveness. There also hasn’t been consensus that Biden would have the legal authority to forgive student loan debt through executive action. But given previous pressure from some Democrats emphasizing loan forgiveness as a “racial and economic justice issue,” I am curious to see if there will be renewed attention again soon. That attention certainly didn’t emerge during this evening’s speech.
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Biden Says Little of Historic Supreme Court Nomination

Biden’s incredibly brief mention of the U.S. Supreme Court and his nomination of Ketanji Brown Jackson is curious. Her nomination is significant for at least two reasons: the first black woman to be nominated to the highest court, and, if seated, she’d be the first federal public defender on the Court. Just today, Judge Jackson has submitted her questionnaire for the Senate Judiciary Committee as she prepares to meet with Senators in advance of her nomination hearings. Jackson’s experience as a public defender may also help us to predict how Republicans will push back on her nomination: just a few weeks ago, Senators Tim Cruz and Josh Hawley questioned appellate judge nominee Nina Morrison for her own work with the Innocence Project. Although Republicans have increasingly supported criminal justice reform (consider the First Step Act signed by Donald Trump), public defenders or those working to exonerate the wrongfully convicted have long endured claims that they are too soft on crime. Whatever the strategy, hearings for Jackson should certainly prove interesting. Why then was Biden’s mention of this historic nomination so brief? In short, it’s likely because her nomination is virtually guaranteed to have little to no impact on the Supreme Court for the foreseeable future, given the Court’s overwhelming conservative majority. Upcoming rulings on major issues like abortion did get something of an indirect call-out by Biden, but otherwise the Supreme Court may very well not be an area for Democratic optimism at the moment.
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Social and education spending highlighted

President Biden named several initiatives that could expand the social safety net and help reboot the American economy. In the midst of an ongoing pandemic, this is a crucial time for social spending, especially around caretaking, employment, and education. In addition to allocating funds to continue to fight the COVID-19 Pandemic as expected, President Biden specifically named the Paycheck Fairness Act, paid leave, raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour, extending the Child Tax Credit, ramping up healthcare for veterans, along with protecting workers’ right to organize. Notably, he also called for more educational funding through increasing Pell Grants and supporting HBCUs and community colleges. It is uncertain whether Biden will be able to marshal the bipartisan legislative support needed to pass these policies, but these are promising initiatives that could go a long way for helping Wisconsinites recover from an ongoing economic and health crisis.
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A Quick Pass on Immigration

A few minutes ago, Biden very quickly moved past immigration and referencing the “torch of liberty,” without offering much detail. It’s important to note that his administration has tried (unsuccessfully) to end the Migration Protection Protocols – referred to as “Remain in Mexico” – a program which has been widely criticized for violations of international norms and laws on refugee and asylum-seeker protections. His administration has also left “Title 42” expulsions in place through a public health ordinance which allows the United States to rapidly return migrants seeking entry at the border back to their countries of origin without asylum screenings. Biden previously justified his continuation of Title 42 expulsions in the context of the pandemic, but medical experts have voiced opposition to the policy and discredited the notion that it serves public health interests. It’s likely he passed over immigration so quickly in part because these kinds of policies have drawn strong criticisms from liberal coalitions within his party, so he is cautious not to dwell too much on the issue.
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States in the State of the Union

The President has highlighted a number of topics that have been at the forefront of state policy making lately (e.g., voting rights, law enforcement reform, gun control, reproductive rights, LGBTQ+ rights). These are issues that will be incredibly important during the upcoming midterm election for congressional candidates and for those running for governor. We will likely see several of these topics as central issues in the gubernatorial race in Wisconsin.
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So Far, Not Much in the Way of Quotable Quotes

We knew going into tonight’s State of the Union that Biden originally planned to focus more on his domestic agenda, compelled by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to shift his emphasis. Those opening remarks included some stirring rhetoric in support for Ukraine – “light will win over darkness” – but I’m still waiting for more memorable rhetoric to put this address in the annals of historic presidential addresses. So far the only other phrase I’ve heard to catch my ear was Biden’s appeal to new job opportunities as a “field of dreams.” Biden’s predecessor Donald Trump was well-known for rhetorical flourish that captured the attention of both audiences and political analysts. Compare Biden’s phrasing to the imagery with which Trump began his own final State of the Union address in February, 2020: Tonight, I stand before you to share the incredible results. Jobs are booming, incomes are soaring, poverty is plummeting, crime is falling, confidence is surging, and our country is thriving and highly respected again. America’s enemies are on the run, America’s fortunes are on the rise, and America’s future is blazing bright. The years of economic decay are over. The days of our country being used, taken advantage of, and even scorned by other nations are long behind us. Gone too are the broken promises, jobless recoveries, tired platitudes, and constant excuses for the depletion of American wealth, power, and prestige. Trump and his speech writers knew well how to draw upon his appeal to voters: a straight-talker who combined frank optimism with grave assessments of the state of America. That language of decay dovetails nicely with Trump’s own inaugural address and his claim that “this American carnage stops right here and stops right now.”
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A Focus on the Rustbelt and Manufacturing

Also relatively early in the President’s address is a focus on the “rustbelt” and manufacturing. This is probably not an accident. Several Midwestern states that rely heavily on manufacturing supported Donald Trump in 2016 shifted and supported President Biden in 2020 (e.g., the “blue wall” of WI, MI, and PA)–a shift that propelled the President into office. These states will be equally important to his reelection efforts in 2024 and to the upcoming midterm elections in November.
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Will the People’s Convoy Make It?

While President Biden was polishing his notes and his audience prepared for cheers and jeers, Capitol Police and other officials have spent the last week preparing the Capitol for potential protests against the President. Over the last week various outlets have reported the plan for a mass protest of truckers – the “People’s Convoy” – to potentially arrive in Washington D.C. over the next few days. Most recent reports suggest that the protest may have petered out, but I’ll be curious if they’re able to mount any kind of resistance and blockage like the convoy that congested Ottawa for some three weeks – an historic protest that pushed Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to invoke emergency powers. As the New York Times reports, fortifications and preparations for this potential protest have returned the Capitol and its surroundings to a level not seen since after protesters stormed the building on January 6th, 2021. Speaking of that historical event: just yesterday the first trial opened in D.C.
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Infrastructure Highlighted Early

The bipartisan infrastructure law is probably one the President’s largest domestic policy achievements since taking office, so it makes sense that the President would highlight it early in his speech, and for good reason. As the President noted, repairs and upgrades to the nation’s infrastructure are badly needed and they aren’t cheap. This law will not solve the problem, but it definitely will provide resources that states and local governments have not had before.
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Setting the Stage: Biden’s Approval

As we’re getting started, some context on Biden’s public approval might be helpful. Tonight’s State of the Union comes at a time when the Biden administration is under substantial pressure from low public approval. A newly released NPR poll finds a majority of Americans (56 percent) describing Biden’s first year in office as a “failure.” Partisanship undoubtedly colors that finding, as 80 percent of Democratic respondents described his first year as a “success” (compared to over 90 percent of Republican respondents who felt the opposite). But what’s probably most worrisome for Biden this evening is that roughly two-thirds of self-identified “Independents” indicated his first year has been a failure. This speech could offer an opportunity for Biden to try to win over of some those people who aren’t fully committed to attaching to the opposing party (Republicans) but who also aren’t pleased with his leadership so far. The problem is that many of those individuals who aren’t already strongly committed to a political party might not be watching his speech tonight. Recent research suggests one of the major “divides” among Americans is between those who are highly engaged and deeply invested in politics and a broader segment of the U.S. public consisting of people who don’t closely follow political news – or tune into presidential addresses such as this.    
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States in the State of the Union Address (Prof. David Helpap)

Hello everyone and welcome! My name is David Helpap and I am an Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Administration at UWGB. The focus of my teaching and research is primarily on state and local governments, with a specific focus on the management of local governments and the services they provide citizens. Recently, I have been interested in the opportunities and challenges that face rural local governments, in particular. I regularly teach courses on state and local government, public policy analysis, public and nonprofit budgeting, and regulatory policy. Like most folks, I expect that President Biden will give significant attention to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the U.S. foreign policy response to the war. On the domestic front, the President will most certainly highlight his recent and historic nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, update the nation on the COVID-19 pandemic, and address concerns about inflation. While these international and national policy topics and developments will almost certainly be given priority in the address (and for good reason), there also should be some portions of the speech that will directly apply to state and local governments across the country. For example, the recently passed $1.2 billion bipartisan infrastructure law will send much needed money directly to state and local governments for long overdue repairs to the nation’s infrastructure, including in Wisconsin. Other issues that could be addressed include climate change, voting rights, gun control, and reproductive rights—policy areas that states, in particular, have been on the forefront in terms of policy changes and new legislation. Finally, this will probably be the most prominent occasion for the President to address the nation prior to the 2022 midterm elections. His discussion will have the potential to set the tone for congressional races, but also for gubernatorial races in several politically important states that include Michigan, Pennsylvania and, of course, Wisconsin. Governor Evers will likely be giving careful consideration to the address and considering the implications for Wisconsin and his own upcoming reelection efforts.
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Gearing up for the State of the Union (with Prof. Kaden Paulson-Smith)

Hi everyone! I’m happy to see that you’re interested in following tonight’s much-anticipated State of the Union Address with us. My name is Kaden Paulson-Smith and I am an Assistant Professor of Democracy & Justice Studies at UW-Green Bay. I am also a member of the Department of Political Science and the Women’s, Gender, and Sexuality Studies Program. My research and teaching crosscut critical carceral studies, law and society, African politics, and feminist and postcolonial studies. You can read more about my research and teaching on my website here. In tonight’s address, I’ll be listening for how President Biden addresses some of the world’s most pressing crises, from Russia’s violent invasion and war on Ukraine, to the inequities revealed and exacerbated by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. I will also be expecting President Biden to ask some hard questions about how to pursue justice given the challenges of our current carceral system. I’m looking forward to hearing your thoughts and reactions as well, so please send them our way!
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